Experiment Plan: [feature / change]
A/B test design – hypothesis, sizing, decision rule
Cara menggunakan: Before running any experiment. Commit to the duration and decision rule up front; peeking early invalidates it.
Pratinjau
Experiment Plan: [feature / change]
A/B test design – decide the success criteria before looking at the data, or you will rationalize whatever you see.
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Experiment | [name] |
| Owner | @name |
| Analyst | @name |
| Start | YYYY-MM-DD |
| Planned end | YYYY-MM-DD |
| Status | Design / Running / Decided |
Hypothesis
We believe [change] will cause [metric] to [direction] by [size] because [mechanism].
Variants
| Variant | Change | Allocation |
|---|---|---|
| Control | current experience | N% |
| A | [change] | N% |
Metrics
| Type | Metric | Direction | Threshold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary | [e.g. activation rate] | up | >= +N% |
| Guardrail | [e.g. churn] | flat or better | <= +N% |
| Diagnostic | [e.g. click-through] | informational | – |
Sizing
- Baseline conversion: N%
- Minimum detectable effect: N%
- Significance: 95%; power: 80%
- Required sample per arm: = N
- Daily traffic: N -> expected duration: N days
Commit to the duration now. Peeking early and stopping on a spike is the most common way experiments lie.
Segmentation & exclusions
- Included: [population]
- Excluded: [internal users, bots, ...]
- Pre-declared subgroups to analyze: [list]
Decision rule
| Outcome | Action |
|---|---|
| Primary up, guardrails flat | Ship variant |
| Primary flat | Revert; record learning |
| Guardrail broken | Stop immediately, revert |
Results (fill after)
| Variant | Primary metric | Guardrail | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Control | |||
| A |
Learnings
What this changes in the roadmap: