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Experiment Plan: [feature / change]

A/B test design – hypothesis, sizing, decision rule

Producto y proyectoEstándartestplan

Cómo usar: Before running any experiment. Commit to the duration and decision rule up front; peeking early invalidates it.

Vista previa

Experiment Plan: [feature / change]

A/B test design – decide the success criteria before looking at the data, or you will rationalize whatever you see.

FieldValue
Experiment[name]
Owner@name
Analyst@name
StartYYYY-MM-DD
Planned endYYYY-MM-DD
StatusDesign / Running / Decided

Hypothesis

We believe [change] will cause [metric] to [direction] by [size] because [mechanism].

Variants

VariantChangeAllocation
Controlcurrent experienceN%
A[change]N%

Metrics

TypeMetricDirectionThreshold
Primary[e.g. activation rate]up>= +N%
Guardrail[e.g. churn]flat or better<= +N%
Diagnostic[e.g. click-through]informational–

Sizing

  • Baseline conversion: N%
  • Minimum detectable effect: N%
  • Significance: 95%; power: 80%
  • Required sample per arm: n=16σ2δ2n = \frac{16\sigma^2}{\delta^2} = N
  • Daily traffic: N -> expected duration: N days

Commit to the duration now. Peeking early and stopping on a spike is the most common way experiments lie.

Segmentation & exclusions

  • Included: [population]
  • Excluded: [internal users, bots, ...]
  • Pre-declared subgroups to analyze: [list]

Decision rule

OutcomeAction
Primary up, guardrails flatShip variant
Primary flatRevert; record learning
Guardrail brokenStop immediately, revert

Results (fill after)

VariantPrimary metricGuardrailVerdict
Control
A

Learnings

What this changes in the roadmap:

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